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Red35
22918.5
703015.3
216832.5
Blue43
42038.7
765117.8
64848.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703702060801003543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.7
End4.7
red by 14.7
7651
#12
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.2
Second
229
#24
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
red by 9.8
4203
#21
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
7030
#23
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.4
End3.7
red by 7.1
6484
#19
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking odds7%HAB Docking odds