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Red36
588110.7
237025.3
450811.2
Blue57
630024.6
25016.9
51499.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505401001503657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#16
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End6.2
red by 0.7
6300
#11
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
Second
4508
#10
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
blue by 5.7
250
#6
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Third
5881
#15
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End0.4
red by 1.0
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking odds18%HAB Docking odds