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Red43
28720.1
362415.8
662110.5
Blue62
317121.2
503019.7
573619.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404810203060704362

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#12
20.10.6
17.117.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 1.0
3171
#10
21.21.9
18.119.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Second
3624
#14
15.80.6
13.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 4.0
5030
#20
19.71.9
13.415.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Third
6621
#23
10.50.3
7.67.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.6
blue by 9.1
5736
#17
19.61.9
13.615.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed