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Red72
14522.7
52717.8
304419.7
Blue62
260725.7
42038.7
493026.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556030405070807262

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#4
22.71.3
20.621.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End5.5
blue by 4.2
26.80.4
24.224.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Second
3044
#22
19.71.3
16.517.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End5.2
blue by 6.0
25.70.4
21.621.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.9
Third
527
#18
17.82.2
15.017.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 9.1
4203
#28
8.70.6
10.811.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned83%HAB Docking oddsEarned