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Red48
630024.6
767212.0
166516.5
Blue42
45478.8
28720.1
22920.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51552030406070804842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#16
24.60.0
22.422.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
red by 3.7
229
#15
20.90.7
23.022.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Second
1665
#13
16.50.0
16.816.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End4.4
blue by 3.6
287
#12
20.11.1
17.716.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Third
7672
#21
12.00.1
9.49.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.2
red by 3.2
4547
#25
8.81.1
11.310.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed