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Red54
19525.9
503019.7
408312.2
Blue36
702714.6
3956.9
63919.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47450204060805436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#7
25.90.1
18.418.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End5.4
red by 6.7
639
#24
19.20.6
17.216.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Second
5030
#20
19.70.1
15.315.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 5.2
7027
#27
14.61.0
12.611.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
4083
#19
12.20.1
10.310.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
red by 5.3
395
#31
6.91.0
12.511.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed