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Red56
81019.2
42038.7
12518.6
Blue60
69426.6
558513.9
573619.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485230406070805660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#26
19.21.2
16.517.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End5.2
blue by 7.4
694
#2
26.60.7
24.124.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End9.4
Second
125
#9
18.60.7
17.218.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 1.0
5736
#17
19.61.2
15.516.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Third
4203
#28
8.71.2
11.412.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 5.3
5585
#30
13.91.2
9.811.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed