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Red54
767212.0
12518.6
317121.2
Blue84
279134.7
304419.7
445812.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506030407080905484

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#10
21.20.8
19.920.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 13.6
34.71.8
29.331.1
Auto5.8
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
125
#9
18.60.5
18.018.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 1.2
3044
#22
19.71.8
17.819.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End5.2
Third
7672
#21
12.00.8
9.410.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.2
blue by 0.2
4458
#29
12.13.0
10.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned