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Red48
45478.8
428420.6
19525.9
Blue32
662110.5
52717.8
22920.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4950304060704832

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#7
25.90.2
18.518.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End5.4
red by 5.0
229
#15
20.91.0
22.321.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Second
20.60.1
17.217.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End6.7
red by 2.8
527
#18
17.81.7
17.215.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Third
4547
#25
8.80.2
10.210.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
blue by 1.7
6621
#23
10.51.0
7.96.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed