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Red58
239924.9
691610.0
112618.9
Blue57
69513.7
264125.1
315723.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46602040805857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.3
15.416.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
blue by 0.2
2641
#14
25.10.9
22.321.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Second
1126
#32
18.90.8
16.317.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End6.7
blue by 4.2
23.10.8
22.321.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
Third
6916
#60
10.01.3
11.612.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 3.7
695
#57
13.70.9
12.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsEarned