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Red61
461120.1
348419.7
566721.7
Blue49
541813.5
359113.9
150730.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605302040801006149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#42
21.70.3
20.520.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End3.2
blue by 8.3
30.00.1
27.227.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Second
4611
#26
20.10.3
19.419.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End5.0
red by 6.2
3591
#46
13.90.1
11.111.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Third
3484
#12
19.70.3
17.017.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 6.3
5418
#56
13.50.1
11.711.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed