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Red43
412117.0
693621.6
159012.7
Blue41
225219.0
460110.5
411917.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48470204060801001204341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6936
#23
21.60.2
16.916.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End1.4
red by 2.6
2252
#21
19.00.2
17.317.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Second
4121
#52
17.00.2
16.216.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 0.7
4119
#27
17.70.4
15.114.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Third
1590
#40
12.70.3
12.812.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.5
red by 2.2
4601
#55
10.50.4
11.811.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed