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Red65
408521.8
696419.6
217212.4
Blue48
319314.4
326019.3
541325.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47642040801006548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
17.617.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End6.6
blue by 3.3
5413
#24
25.10.9
26.225.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.7
End1.5
Second
6964
#29
19.60.1
16.116.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 0.3
3260
#54
19.30.8
20.019.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
2172
#37
12.40.1
10.410.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 2.0
3193
#59
14.40.8
14.413.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed