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Red36
201011.1
503022.3
217212.4
Blue66
155920.9
408521.8
461120.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562203040507080903666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
#43
22.30.5
21.020.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 0.5
21.80.5
18.418.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End6.6
Second
2172
#37
12.40.5
11.210.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 8.5
1559
#35
20.90.5
19.720.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End4.7
Third
2010
#49
11.10.5
10.810.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End4.7
blue by 9.0
4611
#26
20.10.5
20.821.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed