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Red92
150730.0
140522.8
505325.8
Blue65
618114.0
412117.0
69513.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74432060801009265

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.5
27.829.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End3.6
red by 13.0
4121
#52
17.01.6
15.817.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Second
5053
#19
25.81.5
22.323.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End4.9
red by 11.9
6181
#50
14.02.7
13.215.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Third
22.81.5
19.721.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End8.2
red by 9.1
695
#57
13.71.6
11.813.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed