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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214701030406070801836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4119
#11
11.10.1
11.911.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End2.9
blue by 5.0
4780
#2Sur
16.20.5
14.413.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Second
6927
#13Sur
6.00.1
7.16.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 8.6
2252
#10
14.60.5
16.215.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
2.00.8
1.50.7
Auto3.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
blue by 11.0
13.10.5
13.713.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
3%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed