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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433301020506070803950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.3
16.316.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
blue by 1.0
291
#6
16.90.6
15.716.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Second
3193
#14
15.40.3
14.314.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End5.4
red by 1.8
13.60.6
11.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End3.1
Third
4467
#15Sur
8.20.3
9.99.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 0.4
8.72.3
2.14.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed