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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56451020304050607080904954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.3
28.228.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End3.6
red by 14.3
16.20.8
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Second
13.10.3
13.112.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4
blue by 2.8
15.90.8
16.016.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Third
2172
#12
9.60.3
11.711.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 3.0
695
#4
12.60.8
12.413.2
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned