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Red56
415026.2
101415.9
693618.1
Blue35
566725.0
359110.9
320113.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70643040506080901005635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.7
25.725.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End3.7
red by 1.2
5667
#13
25.01.7
28.226.5
Auto4.0
Teleop18.5
End2.5
Second
6936
#16
18.10.7
23.322.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End1.3
red by 4.7
3201
#24
13.31.7
18.316.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
1014
#11
15.90.7
17.516.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 5.0
3591
#18
10.92.3
13.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed