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Red54
414515.9
999910.3
478016.0
Blue42
103819.3
446711.7
326618.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445502060805442

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4780
#10
16.00.8
15.015.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 3.3
19.30.7
17.717.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Second
4145
#22
15.90.8
16.817.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 2.0
3266
#15
18.00.7
18.718.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
10.30.8
9.610.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End1.9
blue by 1.4
4467
#23
11.70.7
15.915.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed