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Red57
603220.1
426914.0
15617.9
Blue36
566718.1
683413.1
461118.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40421020305060705736

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.7
13.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End4.0
red by 1.6
4611
#37
18.50.4
14.113.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.8
End5.9
Second
156
#25
17.90.7
12.413.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 0.2
5667
#20
18.10.4
13.513.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Third
4269
#26
14.00.7
12.012.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End1.9
red by 1.0
6834
#55
13.10.4
12.011.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed