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Red39
746013.7
541322.9
67711.9
Blue36
205111.6
446713.9
170814.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433901001503936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#12
22.90.2
18.518.3
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 8.0
1708
#40
14.90.1
13.713.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Second
7460
#36
13.70.2
11.211.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 0.2
4467
#50
13.90.1
12.011.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
677
#44
11.90.2
11.010.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 0.3
2051
#38
11.60.1
10.910.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed