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Red71
15617.9
131718.6
549221.3
Blue36
67711.9
101416.8
217211.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464020305060707136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#33
21.33.0
16.519.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End4.1
red by 4.5
1014
#24
16.80.2
13.713.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Second
1317
#15
18.63.0
14.117.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End4.9
red by 6.7
677
#44
11.90.2
10.810.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
156
#25
17.93.0
13.216.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
red by 6.2
2172
#51
11.70.2
13.012.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed