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Red45
581119.6
12812.9
13087.3
Blue70
350420.3
748616.5
332427.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405320305060704570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#22
19.60.4
15.415.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 7.5
27.10.5
19.219.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End5.8
Second
128
#54
12.90.4
13.313.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 7.4
20.30.5
15.916.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End8.2
Third
1308
#56
7.30.4
9.49.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
blue by 9.2
16.50.5
15.315.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed