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Red50
549221.3
60849.1
55418.9
Blue56
15617.9
178720.1
320115.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50490204060801005056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#33
21.30.3
20.320.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End4.1
red by 1.2
1787
#39
20.11.1
18.920.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Second
554
#7
18.90.3
18.418.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End5.6
red by 1.1
156
#25
17.91.1
15.917.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Third
6084
#58
9.10.3
9.09.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 6.2
3201
#35
15.31.1
11.512.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed