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Red47
14422.4
13087.3
716519.3
Blue76
415019.3
33716.7
541322.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5354404550606570754776

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#13
22.40.3
21.921.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5413
#12
22.91.7
20.622.3
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
7165
#10
19.30.3
20.420.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Level
4150
#16
19.31.7
15.717.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.8
End4.5
Third
1308
#56
7.30.3
7.77.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
blue by 9.5
337
#30
16.71.7
14.416.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed