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Red48
581119.6
15617.9
217211.7
Blue59
103813.4
313817.3
205111.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060804859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#22
19.60.0
19.719.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 2.2
3138
#17
17.32.0
16.518.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Second
156
#25
17.90.0
17.017.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End3.6
red by 4.4
1038
#27
13.42.0
10.312.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
2172
#51
11.70.0
11.311.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Level
2051
#38
11.62.0
10.012.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed