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Red45
571911.2
401512.0
430810.1
Blue51
46187.2
69788.6
132519.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46453035405055604551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.00.1
15.615.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 7.2
19.10.2
22.322.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Second
5719
#10
11.20.1
14.514.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.4
red by 2.7
6978
#11
8.60.2
9.89.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Third
4308
#15
10.10.1
13.813.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 2.9
4618
#14
7.20.2
10.410.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed20%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed