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Red55
60707.9
687815.4
766415.8
Blue37
775713.3
571911.2
613517.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525402040801001201401605537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.5
19.819.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.6
blue by 1.6
17.40.9
21.520.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End5.0
Second
15.40.5
18.117.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.4
red by 2.1
7757
#12
13.30.9
15.214.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Third
6070
#13
7.90.5
11.511.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 3.4
5719
#10
11.20.9
14.413.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed