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Red54
412112.3
245121.4
170817.8
Blue34
541320.5
478015.0
999817.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596201001502005434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.8
23.122.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End5.5
red by 0.9
5413
#17
20.51.7
22.020.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Second
1708
#10
17.80.8
18.818.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 0.7
9998
#19
17.01.7
20.518.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
4121
#21
12.30.8
13.913.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 2.7
4780
#22
15.01.7
16.514.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed