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Red35
541812.7
265613.9
254413.8
Blue49
411912.8
574015.9
99997.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44320204060801003549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2656
#11
13.90.5
14.413.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
15.91.2
14.615.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Second
2544
#20
13.80.5
15.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End3.8
red by 1.0
4119
#12
12.81.4
13.014.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
5418
#14
12.70.6
12.411.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.7
red by 4.9
9999
#18
7.81.8
3.14.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed