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Red29
317911.7
237314.3
774414.0
Blue22
346511.8
56219.9
23989.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383720253035404550552922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2373
#31
14.30.8
12.912.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 2.5
3465
#56
11.81.4
11.810.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Second
7744
#12
14.04.8
14.09.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End4.8
red by 4.2
5621
#57
9.91.4
11.410.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Third
3179
#40
11.70.8
13.412.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.1
red by 2.0
2398
#53
9.71.4
11.610.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed