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Red39
24248.9
400524.9
555014.0
Blue26
316313.6
239512.3
689117.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444102060801003926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#17
24.90.7
19.719.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.1
red by 7.0
6891
#23
17.81.4
14.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Second
5550
#22
14.01.0
13.412.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.3
red by 0.4
3163
#46
13.61.4
12.310.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Third
2424
#20
8.91.0
8.97.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 3.3
2395
#47
12.31.4
11.810.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed