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Red32
602613.9
452218.9
239512.3
Blue40
316010.6
452320.4
175011.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454020305060703240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#45
18.91.2
15.614.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.8
End2.1
blue by 1.5
20.40.2
12.913.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Second
6026
#21
13.91.2
14.112.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End4.2
red by 2.8
1750
#52
11.10.2
12.412.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Third
2395
#47
12.31.2
13.011.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 1.7
3160
#44
10.60.2
12.913.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed