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Red30
509815.3
315210.5
35079.9
Blue68
246117.5
455017.7
299623.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043253035505560653068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#15
15.32.9
13.310.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 8.3
23.62.6
15.418.1
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
3152
#62
10.52.9
11.18.2
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End3.0
blue by 7.2
17.72.6
14.717.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Third
3507
#34
9.92.9
13.510.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 7.6
2461
#18
17.52.6
11.013.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed