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Red61
400524.9
141021.0
246117.5
Blue39
429321.8
316010.6
156119.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464920304060706139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#17
24.91.3
19.020.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.1
red by 3.1
21.80.8
17.216.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
21.02.0
13.215.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 1.4
1561
#16
19.60.8
17.116.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.2
Third
2461
#18
17.52.0
10.912.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 6.9
3160
#44
10.60.8
11.710.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed