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Red44
233314.7
241023.1
23989.7
Blue19
588914.5
23599.1
29867.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801004419

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.6
17.518.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End7.5
red by 8.6
5889
#13
14.52.5
16.413.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Second
2333
#43
14.70.6
12.613.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 5.5
2359
#51
9.12.5
14.211.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Third
2398
#53
9.70.6
5.86.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End1.8
red by 2.4
2986
#50
7.32.5
7.85.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed