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Red41
324716.2
35079.9
141021.0
Blue40
557815.4
680016.3
175011.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414430354050554140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.2
15.215.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 4.7
6800
#49
16.30.2
17.116.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Second
16.20.2
11.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.9
red by 0.8
5578
#38
15.40.2
13.112.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
3507
#34
9.90.2
12.312.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 1.2
1750
#52
11.10.2
11.811.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed