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Red53
56219.9
449920.7
441816.1
Blue45
279513.8
315210.5
156119.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39361020305060705345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#11
20.71.8
18.920.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End4.9
red by 1.1
1561
#16
19.61.2
16.317.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.2
Second
4418
#26
16.11.8
10.912.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End5.8
red by 2.3
2795
#48
13.81.2
11.012.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
5621
#57
9.91.8
7.08.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.5
blue by 0.6
3152
#62
10.51.2
6.77.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed