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Red28
345714.7
3113.3
680914.3
Blue43
246117.5
602613.9
429321.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354110203050602843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3457
#27
14.70.6
9.58.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End3.3
blue by 7.0
21.80.4
16.416.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
6809
#41
14.30.6
10.910.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 3.1
2461
#18
17.50.4
12.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Third
31
#28
13.30.6
13.012.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 0.6
6026
#21
13.90.4
9.810.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed