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Red47
689117.8
450014.7
555014.0
Blue47
593013.7
316010.6
509815.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39402530354550554747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6891
#23
17.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
red by 2.5
5098
#15
15.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Second
4500
#25
14.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End3.8
red by 1.0
5930
#37
13.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Third
5550
#22
14.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.3
red by 3.5
3160
#44
10.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed