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Red40
573017.2
646412.2
233314.7
Blue43
774414.0
235214.3
235414.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38400102030506070804043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5730
#14
17.20.4
13.413.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
red by 2.5
2354
#10
14.70.5
13.113.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
Second
2333
#43
14.70.4
13.213.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 0.3
2352
#60
14.30.5
14.314.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Third
6464
#39
12.20.4
9.49.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
blue by 1.8
7744
#12
14.00.5
10.911.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed