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Red55
455017.7
452320.4
23599.1
Blue20
495910.6
449920.7
317911.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484820304050605520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.4
16.316.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
blue by 0.3
4499
#11
20.72.8
20.717.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End4.9
Second
17.70.4
17.517.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.2
End4.1
red by 6.0
3179
#40
11.72.8
11.08.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.1
Third
2359
#51
9.10.4
11.712.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End3.0
blue by 1.4
4959
#54
10.62.8
13.510.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed