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Red53
234123.9
345714.7
27738.1
Blue43
175011.1
441816.1
680914.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363702060805343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.1
17.719.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 7.8
4418
#26
16.10.9
12.713.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Second
3457
#27
14.72.1
8.911.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End3.3
red by 0.4
6809
#41
14.30.9
10.311.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
2773
#61
8.12.1
7.49.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 3.0
1750
#52
11.10.9
11.612.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed