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Red55
235414.7
588914.5
156119.6
Blue28
680016.3
276517.8
272316.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060805528

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#16
19.61.8
12.714.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.2
red by 1.8
2765
#24
17.81.6
13.812.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
2354
#10
14.71.8
12.714.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
blue by 1.6
6800
#49
16.31.6
15.814.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Third
5889
#13
14.51.8
13.715.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 1.8
2723
#19
16.31.6
13.211.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed