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Red38
450014.7
557815.4
66214.0
Blue28
573017.2
29867.3
361213.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060803828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5578
#38
15.40.2
12.412.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 1.8
5730
#14
17.22.1
12.310.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Second
4500
#25
14.70.2
13.713.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End3.8
red by 1.6
3612
#33
13.22.1
12.810.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
662
#29
14.00.2
13.313.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End3.1
red by 6.8
2986
#50
7.32.1
11.79.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed