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Red43
316010.6
29867.3
316313.6
Blue72
276517.8
317911.7
324716.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3040010205060704372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3163
#46
13.60.4
12.412.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 4.2
2765
#24
17.81.7
15.116.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
3160
#44
10.60.5
8.99.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 5.6
16.21.5
13.414.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.9
Third
2986
#50
7.30.5
7.68.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 4.4
3179
#40
11.71.7
9.611.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned