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Red49
23989.7
156119.6
557815.4
Blue66
24248.9
93218.5
509815.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43391020305060704966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#16
19.60.5
18.018.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.2
red by 1.0
932
#30
18.52.1
16.218.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Second
5578
#38
15.40.5
14.214.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 0.1
5098
#15
15.32.1
12.214.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Third
2398
#53
9.70.5
9.09.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End1.8
red by 0.8
2424
#20
8.92.0
8.310.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed