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Red66
468816.6
447626.7
648111.5
Blue40
766413.5
654411.6
490323.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5737020806640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
24.325.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 3.0
23.70.5
16.316.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Second
4688
#14
16.61.4
14.616.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End4.1
red by 3.1
7664
#13
13.50.5
7.27.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Third
6481
#25
11.51.4
14.816.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 0.2
6544
#26
11.60.5
11.812.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed