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Red70
493811.0
263418.9
130530.6
Blue46
78111.9
401516.9
633617.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564210203050607080907046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.1
23.123.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End9.8
red by 13.4
17.20.6
14.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Second
18.90.1
18.018.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
red by 2.0
4015
#19
16.90.4
16.116.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Third
4938
#22
11.00.1
11.511.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 0.9
781
#21
11.90.6
9.710.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed